Why the US “Withdrew” from Afghanistan

The spiritual planners of the invasion of Afghanistan and global military intervention were Robert Kagan, Charles Krauthammer and Bill Kristol of the Weekly Standard, the book of American neoconservatism.

These ideas were introduced to the White House during the presidency of George Bush by then-Vice President Dick Cheney, who built the hard core of neoconservatives such as Abrams, Armitage, Bolton, Wolfowitz and Perle, who were in line with then-Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld.

by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis

©The law of intellectual property is prohibited in any way unlawful use/appropriation of this article, with heavy civil and criminal penalties for the infringer.

Dick Cheney & Ronald Rumsfeld

The US invasion of Afghanistan

September 11, 2001 was the opportunity they sought to implement their vision and the American socio-political model in countries such as Afghanistan. The Taliban leader, the famous Mullah Omar (who died in 2013) had warned then-US President George W. Bush “You have never won a war to date, and we have not lost anyone, so think before you attack.”

The United States has attacked Afghanistan in retaliation for the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and Osama bin Laden, who was protected by the Taliban.

The American attack produced impressive results. Twenty years later, however, that attack turned out to be a hole in the water.

The US proposals for regime change, the education of peoples, and the establishment of Western political systems by adopting the famous “Western principles and values” were an attempt that fell on deaf ears without producing tangible results.

The repeated mistake of the United States was that from the beginning they defended and financed a corrupt Afghan administration, which only cared about holding the reins of power in order to fully control the opium trade with its enormous profits, but which did not spread to its development. production and infrastructure and in general did not diffuse to improve the lives of all Afghan citizens but only to the country’s political and military elite.

In addition to the costly $1trillion annual military stay in Afghanistan, the United States has spent $80 billion on training, equipping, and building the Afghan Armed Forces, handing over the reins to a highly corrupt Afghan political and military order.

US Army in Afghanistan

But the corrupt, Western-backed Afghan government in Kabul has not been able to engage in a real war with the Taliban, even to the extent required to force them to share power.

The repeated mistake of the US in Afghanistan is, because they do it again in the past as in investing by supporting and financing the Nationalist Party of China (supporting them in the Chinese Civil War) which then fled to Taiwan but also in the Vietnam War by investing in the government of South Vietnam which was equally corrupt.

If what the Russian embassy in Afghanistan said was true that former Afghan President Ashraf Ghani fled the country (to United Arabic Emirates) in four vehicles full of money that did not fit all in the helicopter, then this shows why the US failed to create a new country in Afghanistan, why you simply do not build the new country with the corrupt materials of the past.

Awareness of error and disengagement

When the US realized the awkwardness of the choice and the impasse, it began to implement its plan of disengagement. Unblocking was done by applying the “Rumsfeld doctrine” – using mercenaries as a tool in conjunction with the US Special Forces and the Secret Service and the UAVs, reducing potential losses and improving the success rate of conventional operations.

The American troops were located only in specific strategic areas, while the Afghan Armed Forces were trained and equipped with modern weapons systems, etc. to defend their country.

Private contractors in Afghanistan

On the other hand, the Taliban’s goal from the beginning was to gain time by constantly destroying guerrillas with foreign troops, maintaining their forces, and constantly renewing them in both personnel and equipment (please read the analysis entitled “The Pakistan-Taliban “Brotherhood”), steadily creating over time in the US the feeling of permanent financial bleeding and deadlock.

The US-built infrastructure in Afghanistan is now in the hands of the Taliban, along with all modern American equipment, which will surely pass into the hands of the Russians and the Chinese.

Another US mistake is mainly related to the ideological treatment of Russia, which came to an agreement behind the scenes with the Taliban.

In addition, since the beginning of the war in Afghanistan, the United States has not “neutralized” Pakistani Sunni schools (madrassas), whose graduates remained organized in a guerrilla-style military structure. Pakistan has always considered Afghanistan its strategic depth vis-I-Vis India. At the same time, however, China is entering the equation (please read the analysis entitled “The Geostrategic Significance of Afghanistan Which Is Directed to the Embrace of China“).

Iran knew that if US forces remained stuck in Afghanistan and Iraq, the United States would not attack Iran, and at the same time continue to wreak havoc.

Pakistan madrassas

Another US mistake is mainly related to the ideological treatment of Russia, which came to an agreement behind the scenes with the Taliban.

In addition, since the beginning of the war in Afghanistan, the United States has not “neutralized” Pakistani Sunni schools (madrassas), whose graduates remained organized in a guerrilla-style military structure. Pakistan has always considered Afghanistan its strategic depth vis-I-Vis India. At the same time, however, China is entering the equation (please read the analysis entitled “The Pakistan-Taliban Brotherhood“).

Iran knew that if US forces remained stuck in Afghanistan and Iraq, the United States would not attack Iran, and at the same time continue to wreak havoc.

The Wrath of the Wounded Reputation of the Empire, the Asymmetric Threat, and International Terrorism

The problem is that the wounded prestige of the American empire will probably look for a military-type but tough military conflict to restore the image of the empire, thus reminding who is the boss on the planet. The preferred candidate in this case is Iran. Israel, for its part, will want to take advantage of this moment of US anger to its advantage.

US evacuation in Afghanistan

The terrorist attack of September 11, 2001, in the United States did not come from any country. It came from terrorists who were not easy to locate and neutralize. The well-known “asymmetric threat”. Everything adapted to it. The military doctrines, the armaments, but above all the way of thinking of the experts who cannot predict the mutation of the threat every time.

The mechanism, the financial industry and the armaments activity were adapted with a long time-delay. The threats, however, are constantly changing, with the result that the experts’ predictions fail and are adapted to the new data of the new threats each time.

The Taliban now want the glamor and privilege of the executive branch and the prospect of being accepted as a legitimate government by the international community. They will not turn the country into a stronghold of a new “Al Qaeda”. But their Sunni schools will continue to produce jihadists who will live in other countries in the future. The new form of terrorism will be used as a tool by the allies of the Taliban, Pakistan, Russia, and China in conjunction with other new forms of terrorism.

The Taliban’s de facto and de jure rule in Afghanistan is creating the conditions for state or non-state forces to fund “Islamic-style revolutions” in other sensitive areas of the world.

The possible US revenge and Afghanistan’s rare earths

The US “revenge” for the Taliban in Afghanistan is likely to be the future partition of the country within its existing borders.

This can only be achieved if the US renews in the right direction the acceptance or non-acceptance of Tajiks and Uzbeks (and Pakistan-backed Pashtuns) as to whether they can live in their own territories and not under Taliban control.

These scandals and prospects would directly involve the interests of the Russians and the Chinese by abolishing existing alliances with the Taliban.

Taliban’s first press news

Knowing that the United States would withdraw militarily, they may have made a deal with the Taliban to exploit Afghanistan’s scarce land and mineral wealth so that it would not fall into the hands of the Chinese.

Could this be the trading paper used by the US in exchange for breaking the Taliban impasse while winning $3 trillion futures contracts to mine and exploit Afghanistan’s rare earth?

End of season

After the British and Soviet Empires, it was the turn of the American Empire to be defeated in Afghanistan. US prestige is irreparably taken, especially in Central Asia, which, given the ability of the Russians and Chinese to strengthen, will create major obstacles to the US recovery in Central Asia.

Turkey is interested in the Uzbeks of northern Afghanistan, while Iran is influencing the Shiite Khazars of western Afghanistan – bringing them into conflict of interest with Russia.

Approaches between the Qatari-based Taliban political leadership and their military leadership are different. There are also many and strong racial contradictions, which if used wisely by the US, will greatly delay China’s One Belt-One Zone economic reconstruction plans, which envisage connecting Kabul with Peshawar.

The US withdrawal from Afghanistan was a decision already made by the presidency of Donald Trump.

The United States has launched its withdrawal from Iraq. In Iraq, the United States has failed to bring order and prosperity and has seen Iran play a leading role in that country’s affairs.

Iran is not prepared to accept the additional conditions set by the US for its nuclear program but is ready to further increase its enrichment rate.

The complete victory of the Taliban sends a clear message that the US war machine is not invincible. Given that there are several armed movements claiming power, the victory of the Taliban seems to be a point of reference for them.

Maybe for the US it will be the price of withdrawing its forces from different parts of the world so that they can gather all their forces and defeat the emerging Chinese dragon claiming the position of world empire.

Follow Us

About the author

The Liberal Globe is an independent online magazine that provides carefully selected varieties of stories. Our authoritative insight opinions, analyses, researches are reflected in the sections which are both thematic and geographical. We do not attach ourselves to any political party. Our political agenda is liberal in the classical sense. We continue to advocate bold policies in favour of individual freedoms, even if that means we must oppose the will and the majority view, even if these positions that we express may be unpleasant and unbearable for the majority.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

en English
X
error: Content is protected !!