Russia continues to watch undisturbed the “fires” breaking out in the territories of Russia’s closest allies on its borders. These geopolitical “fires” can be summarized in the following main situations in the Russian region.
1. Opposition challenge of Belarusian President Lukashenko,
2. Azerbaijani military offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh (please read the analysis “The Alliances of Armenia and Azerbaijan respectively in the war of Nagorno-Karabakh and the Solution to stop the war“).
3. Siege of Parliament by angry protesters demanding the resignation of President and Prime Minister in Kyrgyzstan.
4. Disruption in Tatar ranks from Turkey to Crimea.
by Thanos S. Chonthrogiannis
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Photo by the website www.warsawinstitute.org
Of course, the apathy that the Kremlin is monitoring developments is since in Belarus, the people are close to Russia (please read the analysis entitled “The Air of Liberalism conquers Belarus“).
So, a weakened Lukashenko is more easily manageable than a Lukashenko who has been aerobating up to the recent past between the EU and Russia.
Belarusian President Lukashenko’s openings to the opposition, visiting jailed opposition activists, are the result of a soft Kremlin push towards Lukashenko, opening a window for a possible compromise and if the opposition does not cut ties with Russia.
Moreover, Kyrgyzstan has never called into question the country’s close relations with Russia, nor has a possible revision of the status of Russia’s strategically important air base near Kyrgyzstan’s border with China ever been compromised (please read the analysis entitled”Kyrgyzstan: The Army on the streets due to Turkey“).
Photo by the website www.brusselsdiplomatic.com
The geopolitical “apathy” that Russia is monitoring developments on the periphery of its borders lies in the fact that none of the rival camps claiming power feeds anti-Russian sentiments that would deeply disrupt these peoples’ relations with Russia.
